Tunisia vs Netherlands Picks, Predictions & Betting Odds: World Cup 2026 Preview

Tunisia vs Netherlands | FIFA World Cup 2026 Group F | Thursday, June 25, 2026 | Kickoff: 6:00 PM CT | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City | TV: Fox Sports

• Group F Standings (after Matchday 2): Netherlands – 4 pts (1st) | Japan – 4 pts (2nd) | Sweden – 3 pts (3rd) | Tunisia – 0 pts (4th)

Why This Game Matters

Tunisia have zero points, a goal difference of -8, and are mathematically alive only in the most marginal sense. Three points against Netherlands combined with a heavy Sweden defeat to Japan would be required to have any hope of advancing, making this essentially a dead rubber for the Tunisians and a chance for Ronald Koeman’s side to close out Group F in style. A Netherlands win or draw likely seals top spot and guarantees a round of 16 berth ahead of the Japan-Sweden clash.

Our Pick

Netherlands to win, backed at -670 with BetOnline. Tunisia have conceded nine goals in two matches, the Dutch are scoring freely, and the gap in squad depth between these sides is too wide to bet against.

Tunisia vs Netherlands: Preview, Picks & Betting Odds

Tunisia arrived in Kansas City having lost 5-1 to Sweden and 4-0 to Japan, conceding nine times without a single defensive clean sheet in sight. Their lone goal of the tournament came from Omar Rekik, and their attacking output has been virtually non-existent against top-tier opposition. With nothing but pride to play for, the question is whether they can summon a performance rather than simply absorb another heavy defeat.

Netherlands are in a different universe form-wise. Ronald Koeman’s squad put five past Sweden in Matchday 2 after drawing 2-2 with Japan in their opener. The Dutch are scoring through multiple channels, Cody Gakpo and Virgil van Dijk have been active threats, and the squad carries genuine World Cup pedigree having reached the final in 2010 and finished third in 2014.

Tunisia vs Netherlands betting odds tell the story bluntly: the Dutch are listed at -670 to win at BetOnline, a reflection of just how lopsided the expected outcome is. The Tunisia vs Netherlands prediction market gives the Tunisians a slim +2300 window, which represents a lottery ticket rather than a meaningful angle. The real betting interest lies in the goals markets and the margin.

Recent Form & Trends

Tunisia – Last 5:

• vs Japan (World Cup, competitive): Lost 0-4
• vs Sweden (World Cup, competitive): Lost 1-5
• vs Belgium (Friendly): Lost 0-5
• vs Austria (Friendly): Lost 0-1
• vs Canada (Friendly): Drew 0-0

Five matches without a win, four without scoring. Tunisia have conceded 15 goals across their last four competitive and friendly outings leading into this fixture. Even against Belgium and Austria in warm-up games, they were unable to register. The pattern is clear: this is a side under severe pressure at tournament level.

Netherlands – Last 5:

• vs Sweden (World Cup, competitive): Won 5-1
• vs Japan (World Cup, competitive): Drew 2-2
• vs Uzbekistan (Friendly): Won 2-1
• vs Algeria (Friendly): Lost 0-1
• vs Ecuador (Friendly): Drew 1-1

Netherlands have scored nine goals in two World Cup games. Their 5-1 dismantling of Sweden showed that once the Dutch find rhythm, there is serious attacking variety across the squad. The one pre-tournament friendly loss to Algeria should not obscure what Koeman’s side has done when the stakes are real.

Tunisia vs Netherlands History & H2H Trends

The two sides have met just three times, all in friendly competition. In 2009 in Tunis the match finished 1-1. In 1994, again in Tunis, it ended 2-2. The only meeting that produced a decisive result was back in April 1978, when Netherlands won 4-0 away from home. There is no World Cup meeting between these nations to reference, and the historical H2H is too limited and too dated to carry strong predictive weight.

What the H2H does confirm is that Tunisia have never beaten the Dutch, and their two draws came in an era before either side’s current generation was involved. The 1978 result, notably, aligned with the Dutch reaching the World Cup final that same year. This Matchday 15 encounter is likely to follow a similarly one-sided trajectory.

Injuries, Suspensions & Roster News

Tunisia had a turbulent tournament start off the pitch as well as on it. Sabri Lamouchi, who took charge in January 2026, was dismissed after Tunisia’s opening match, with Herve Renard stepping in to take over. That managerial disruption adds another layer of uncertainty over team selection and tactical approach heading into a match where motivation is already difficult to manufacture.

Within the Tunisia squad, experienced midfielder Ellyes Skhiri of Eintracht Frankfurt brings leadership with 83 caps, and Hannibal Mejbri is the young talent to watch. However, following two heavy defeats and a managerial change, player availability and morale will both be factors. No confirmed injury or suspension news has been reported for key players ahead of this fixture.

For Netherlands, Koeman has a deep and largely fit squad. Memphis Depay at 109 caps is the most experienced player on the pitch and remains among the tournament’s most threatening forwards. Frenkie de Jong provides the midfield platform, and Virgil van Dijk at 92 caps anchors a defense that has been tested but not broken in the two group games. There are no significant injury concerns reported within the Dutch camp heading into this fixture.

Expected Lineups

Tunisia (4-3-3): Aymen Dahmen; Yan Valery, Dylan Bronn, Montassar Talbi, Ali Abdi; Ellyes Skhiri, Hannibal Mejbri, Anis Ben Slimane; Elias Achouri, Firas Chaouat, Ismaeel Gharbi

Netherlands (4-3-3): Bart Verbruggen; Denzel Dumfries, Virgil van Dijk (c), Micky van de Ven, Nathan Ake; Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Tijjani Reijnders; Cody Gakpo, Memphis Depay, Donyell Malen

Predicted lineups – squads to be confirmed ahead of kickoff.

Key Matchup to Watch

Ellyes Skhiri vs the Netherlands midfield will be the on-field battle that matters most. Skhiri, with 83 caps and the experience of Eintracht Frankfurt’s Bundesliga campaigns, is Tunisia’s best hope of winning the ball back and disrupting Netherlands’ build-up. But he faces Ryan Gravenberch and Tijjani Reijnders, both at the peak of their form at Liverpool and Manchester City respectively. If Skhiri cannot impose himself, the Dutch midfield will dictate territory, create overloads in wide areas, and service Gakpo and Malen at will. Tunisia’s inability to retain the ball across their first two matches – conceding nine goals in the process – suggests Skhiri will be fighting that battle largely alone.

Best Bets & Expert Picks

• Main Pick: Netherlands to win @ -670 (BetOnline). Nine goals conceded in two games by Tunisia, a managerial change mid-tournament, and a Dutch side scoring freely. The price is short but the outcome is as close to a formality as group-stage football produces.
• Goals Market: Over 3.25 goals @ +100 (BetOnline / Lucky Rebel). Netherlands scored five against Sweden and two against Japan. Tunisia have shipped 4 and 5 in their opening group games. Both sides’ patterns point toward a high-scoring match; best available price on Over 3.25 is +100.
• Goals Scorer Market: Cody Gakpo to score anytime. Gakpo has 21 international goals in 50 caps and is one of the most dangerous wide forwards in this tournament. With Tunisia’s defense already under severe strain, expect Koeman’s attack to rotate heavily and Gakpo to find space early.
• Correct Score: Netherlands 4-0. The Dutch win by that exact scoreline in the only decisive H2H meeting on record, from 1978. Backed by Tunisia’s -8 goal difference in this group and Netherlands’ recent 5-1 demolition of Sweden, a 4-0 line reflects genuine value for the margin market.

Betting Odds & Lines

Current Tunisia vs Netherlands betting odds across the three approved operators, with Netherlands the substantial favorite at every book:

Outcome	BetOnline	Lucky Rebel	BetNow
Tunisia Win	+2300	+2200	+2000
Draw	+800	+700	+850
Netherlands Win	-900	-800	-750

Best available Tunisia win price is +2300 at BetOnline. Best draw price is +850 at BetNow. Best Netherlands win price is -670 across the market.

How to Watch & Where to Bet

How to Watch

Tunisia vs Netherlands is broadcast live in the United States on Fox Sports, with Spanish-language coverage on Telemundo. Kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is at 6:00 PM CT on Thursday, June 25, 2026.

How to Bet

New to betting on the FIFA World Cup 2026? Here is how to place your first wager on this match:

1. Choose a licensed sportsbook – BetOnline, Lucky Rebel, and BetNow are all approved operators covering this fixture.
2. Create your account and complete any required identity verification steps.
3. Navigate to the Soccer or World Cup 2026 section of the sportsbook.
4. Locate the Tunisia vs Netherlands Group F match on June 25.
5. Select your market – match result, totals (Over/Under), or anytime scorer.
6. Enter your stake in the bet slip and review the potential payout before confirming.
7. Confirm the bet and keep a record of your wager for tracking purposes.
8. Watch the match live on Fox Sports and track your bet in real time via the sportsbook app.

Responsible Gambling

Gambling should be approached as entertainment, not as a source of income. If you or someone you know is experiencing difficulty with gambling, contact the National Council on Problem Gambling helpline at 1-800-522-4700, available 24 hours a day, or visit ncpgambling.org. Gamblers Anonymous can also be reached at gamblersanonymous.org. Set limits, bet within your means, and seek help if gambling stops being fun.