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2024 Italian GP Weather Forecast: Dry Qualifying Awaits Drivers in Monza

Anirban Aly Mandal
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2024 Italian GP Weather Forecast: Dry Qualifying Awaits Drivers in Monza

F1 returns to the Temple of Speed — the Autodromo Nazionale Monza for the 2024 edition of the Italian Grand Prix. The 16th round of the championship will see the drivers return to dry-weather conditions throughout the weekend after a pretty windy and slippery outing at the Dutch Grand Prix, last week.

As per the weather predictions, Friday practice will see blue skies with a 0% chance of rain. Things are likely to get a bit cloudy come Saturday, however. That being said, the risk of rain is forecasted to be less than 20% and hence, all the teams should expect to be running in the dry.

This will give all the teams the chance to collect valuable data for qualifying and the Grand Prix on Sunday — which is also expected to remain dry. Throughout the weekend, the temperatures are expected to hit highs of around 34 degrees Celsius and lows in the region of 21 degrees Celsius.

In terms of strategy, the weather is not all that is going to influence the decisions on the pit walls. The track has been re-surfaced in certain areas and hence is expected to be less abrasive than usual. However, with newly laid asphalt also comes higher track temperature, as per Pirelli.

Given the clockwise layout of the circuit, it is also expected to be the harshest on the left-fronts of the cars., Just like last year, the three compounds for the weekend will be C3 (hard), C4 (medium), and C5 (soft) — the softest from Pirelli’s range. So, it will be a race of optimally managing the tires with chances of overheating as well due to higher temperatures.

Moreover, Monza also has one of the highest pit lane loss times at around 23.71 seconds. Thus, a one-stopper would be the quickest strategy on paper.

The last eight Grands Prix at Monza have produced a 50% chance of a Safety Car — which could very well factor into the strategies of some of the teams who would like to start on the softer compounds at the start. Track evolution is also expected to be high owing to the new tarmac and hence, some teams might prefer going on aggressive strategies for the entire weekend.

Post Edited By:Aishwary Gaonkar

About the author

Anirban Aly Mandal

Anirban Aly Mandal

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Anirban Aly Mandal is an F1 writer at The SportsRush, with over 1000 articles under his belt, Anirban's love for F1 started when he discovered a copy of F1 2014 on his computer. With over half a decade's worth of time spent religiously following the sport, he’s dived deep into the world of motorsports. However, Anirban's expertise goes beyond just writing - he has also written several academic papers focused on the domain of motorsports and the law. His passion for the sport is so immense that he aspires to work as a legal advisor in the most prestigious racing series in the world someday. When it comes to Formula 1, Anirban finds great pleasure in re-watching classic races and idolizes the likes of Ayrton Senna, Nigel Mansell, and Sebastian Vettel. His top picks include Brazil '91, Silverstone '92, and Germany '19. Outside of the sport, Anirban is an avid sim racer, often found racing on titles like Assetto Corsa, F1 22, and Automobilista. Apart from his interests in gaming, Anirban has a keen interest in philosophy, literature and music.

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