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Aaron Judge Set to Shatter Own Record? Bullish MLB Insiders Project 65 Home Runs in 2024

Oindrila Chowdhury
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"We're Ballplayers.. Not Analysts": Yankees' Aaron Judge Pushes Back on MLB's Latest Analytics Obsession

Aaron Judge made history with his outstanding performance at the plate in the 2022 MLB season. He surpassed Roger Maris’ 1961 record of 61 HRs in the American League by smashing a total of 62 home runs. Apart from his home run tally, Judge’s overall offensive numbers were truly exceptional. In recognition of his season, Judge was unanimously chosen as the American League’s Most Valuable Player (MVP). Also, he secured his Silver Slugger Award for being the top offensive player at his position in the league. 

 Now, in the ongoing MLB season, Aaron Judge is again showing a standout performance for the Yankees. With a tally of 32 home runs, leading all players in Major League Baseball, Judge has shown incredible power-hitting ability. Many of his homers have soared beyond the 400-foot mark.

Well, Aaron Judge is not just hitting home runs, he is also maintaining a batting average of .321, placing him in the top ranks among American League hitters. Moreover, he can win another MVP award if he continues to perform at this level.

Despite a tough start due to an injury during spring training, Judge has bounced back strongly with 14 homers in May and 11 (and counting) in June. One key factor contributing to Judges’ season is the lineup protection offered by Juan Soto who bats before him. His presence has made pitchers approach Judge cautiously to avoid dealing with Sotos’s powerful hitting. This strategy involving the Dominican star has worked well for A-Judge for taking advantage of pitching situations.

Currently, MLB Analysts anticipate that based on Judge’s pace and support from Soto, he could be on track to break his record from 2022. Former MLB player turned analyst, Sean Casey predicts that Aaron Judge will surpass his 62-homer season in 2022 when discussing it on MLB Central.

“He’s turning 65 this year folks,” mentioned Casey taking into account the factors discussed earlier. 

If we compare the 2022 and 2024 MLB seasons considering the first 86 games, here’s how Aaron Judge is projected to perform:

Aaron Judge’s Statistics in 2022:

  • Average: .283
  • Home Runs: 30
  • RBI: 65
  • On-Base Percentage: .361
  • Slugging Percentage: .610
  • wRC+: 171 (171% better than league average)

Aaron Judge’s Statistics 2024:

  • Average: .316
  • Home Runs: 31
  • RBI: 82
  • On-Base Percentage: .436
  • Slugging Percentage: .708
  • wRC+: 214

This indicates that Judge is currently on track for hitting 58 home runs, driving 154 runs, and achieving an fWAR of 11.1 in 2024.

Aaron Judge isn’t just known for his on-field powers. He also equally excels at handling off-field incidents involving the New York Yankees. For example, recently he dealt with a situation involving Gleyber Torres and Marcus Stroman with grace.

Aaron Judge and Marcus Stroman’s Secret Dugout Discussion After Heated Moment with Gleyber Torres

During a game against the Toronto Blue Jays on June 29, pitcher Marcus Stroman became agitated after a play and shouted at his teammate Gleyber Torres in the dugout. In the very next moment, cameras caught Aaron Judge approaching Stroman.

In light of this event, it was initially thought to be Judge confronting Stroman about his outburst. However,  it was later clarified by Stroman himself that Judge approached him to calm him down and apologize. Apparently, Judge thought that his mistake in playing the first ball of the inning led to Stroman’s frustration.

As a new captain, Aaron Judge has time and again shown great maturity, Undeniably, he is a valuable asset in the Bronx, on and off the field.

About the author

Oindrila Chowdhury

Oindrila Chowdhury

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Oindrila is a seasoned sports journalist with over 2 years of experience covering the NFL and MLB. With Sportskeeda and Pinkvilla, she has a combined portfolio of 1000+ published articles under her name. When Oindrila is not glued to covering the news, you might find her deciphering the stock market or keeping up with the next hot fashion trend.

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