It’s Week 7 of the regular season, and Patrick Mahomes has once again established himself as the frontrunner for the NFL’s MVP award. The Kansas City Chiefs quarterback leads the MVP odds boards of most sportsbooks.
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Some outlets are even giving Mahomes around +150 odds to win the MVP. Others place him in the top three alongside rising names like rookie Drake Maye and veteran Matthew Stafford. But the overarching feeling is that Mahomes is the man to beat in the MVP race.
So far this season, Mahomes has thrown 14 passing touchdowns in seven games. That has not just helped keep the Chiefs near the top of the AFC but also puts the quarterback on pace for another historic campaign.
Averaging roughly two passing touchdowns per game, Mahomes is projected to finish the 2025 season with around 34 touchdown passes. That would match some of the best totals of his career. And this season isn’t just about MVP chatter for the Chiefs’ superstar.
Mahomes is closing in on one of the NFL’s most iconic benchmarks. Entering 2025, Mahomes had 245 career passing touchdowns, while Hall of Famer Joe Montana retired with 273.
After adding 14 so far this year, Mahomes stands at 259 career touchdown passes. So he needs just 15 more to surpass Montana on the all-time list.
At his current scoring rate, Mahomes is projected to overtake Montana’s total by Week 15. That moment will act as a symbolic passing of the torch from one generational quarterback to another.
Once he clears that mark, Mahomes will immediately set his sights on the next names above him. That would be Vinny Testaverde (275) and Kirk Cousins (288), both well within reach if his pace continues.
It’s fitting that in a season where Mahomes once again leads the MVP race, he’s also ascending into the company of the all-time greats in terms of career statistics, too.
