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Analyst Says 60% Percent Chance Warriors Trade Jonathan Kuminga by January 20, 15 Days Before Trade Deadline

Somin Bhattacharjee
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Golden State Warriors forward Jonathan Kuminga (00) stands on the court before a play against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the second quarter during game four of the second round for the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Chase Center.

The ongoing, almost never-ending uncertainty over Jonathan Kuminga’s future in Golden State may finally be nearing its conclusion as the trade deadline approaches. Steve Kerr doesn’t see him as a part of his plans, even when the team is short-handed. But then, that narrative has been playing out in a loop for quite a few months now.

Just how likely is Kuminga to exit the Warriors truly this time? Monte Poole recently analyzed the Kuminga situation, and for those who want this unhappy marriage to end, it’s great news.

Golden State appears to be actively eyeing a trade package that would send their 2021 No. 7 Draft Pick away. What’s greater news is the fact that the Warriors may not wait until February 6 (trade deadline day) to ship Kuminga off.

The Congolese forward may be on a flight out of San Francisco as early as January 20, the day their mammoth home stand ends in a game against the Raptors. “Warriors have done their homework on all the possibilities; they have a list ranking all the possible outcomes,” Poole stated on the Dubs Talk podcast.

“60% chance Kuminga is moved by the end of the homestand on January 20th,” he added.

There have been a number of teams interested in landing Kuminga. Among those, the Sacramento Kings are the team that believes the most in his potential. A deal involving him and Malik Monk, with other franchises potentially joining in to turn it into a multi-team trade, is very much on the cards.


The 60% chance that Poole talked about was just of Kuminga leaving before January 20. The probability, in all fairness, will go higher and higher as February 6 approaches.

Kuminga will be desperately looking to leave this chapter of his career behind. He last played a game on December 18 against the Suns. So it has been weeks since he even repped the Warriors.

It seems baffling because in September, Kuminga signed a $48 million, two-year deal with Golden State. And half a year of that has just gone to waste. So, for any team willing to take him on, it would essentially be on an expiring contract.

Post Edited By:Smrutisnat Jena

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Somin Bhattacharjee

Somin Bhattacharjee

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Basketball Editor Somin Bhattacharjee first discovered the game during the 2014 FIBA World Cup. Not long after, he turned to the NBA and found himself drawn to the Golden State Warriors — right at the start of Stephen Curry’s rise. Over time, the admiration turned into full-blown support for the team, one that continues even as the Curry era approaches its twilight. A true hoophead, Somin also follows EuroLeague basketball closely and enjoys exploring the game beyond the NBA. Though holding a bachelor's degree in marketing, Somin discovered his true calling in writing. Since 2021, he has penned over 3,000 articles for TheSportsRush, covering everything from breaking news to sharp opinion pieces and detailed exclusives. He thrives on writing about in-game moments and the reactions that make basketball a uniquely emotional sport. Beyond basketball, Somin plays different sports including soccer and remains a passionate fan of Spanish football giants Real Madrid

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