Prediction: Aaron Rodgers Can’t Recreate Packers’ 22-0 Blowout Against Josh Allen Tonight

Aaron Rodgers is 2-1 against Josh Allen. But that record is a bit misleading considering Rodgers’ last win over Allen was in the 2023 season opener.

In that game, Rodgers tore his Achilles just four snaps into the game. He technically started the game but never did feature in it. Should we count that as a victory?

Rodgers’ first victory over Allen came in 2018 when Allen was just a rookie. The Green Bay Packers had their way with the Bills that day, trouncing them 22-0. But can Rodgers recreate that first win from his time with the Packers? Not likely.

Neither Aaron Rodgers nor Josh Allen has played his sharpest football recently. But Allen has improved leaps and bounds since his rookie year and is in the middle of his prime. Meanwhile, Rodgers has seen a sharp decline in performance. The last time he played good football was in 2022.

His age and the aforementioned Achilles injury are definitely not helping matters. He’s been slow on the field, and while his shoulder has gotten him out of a pickle once or twice, it’s likely not going to be enough.

Both Rodgers and Allen don’t resemble the players they were in 2018. So can Rodgers win over Allen? Sure, but it’s unlikely that tonight’s matchup resembles their 2018 affair.

But Allen’s struggles versus the Jets – and the NFL’s wacky nature – mean anything could happen.

Allen has been mediocre when playing the New York Jets

In his career, Allen has battled the Jets 11 times. The Bills are 7-4 in those games, but Allen is lackluster against Buffalo’s in-state division rival. Allen has just 12 touchdown passes versus New York and has tossed 11 interceptions.

He has thrown two or more interceptions in the past four matchups; with the Bills winning just one of those contests.

On the other hand, Rodgers has only played four full games against Buffalo. By virtue of his “win” in Week 1 last year, he’s 3-2 when playing the Bills, but their defense has his number.

Rodgers’ completion percentage against them is a paltry 54.2%. He also has only five touchdown passes and four interceptions in those “five” face-offs.

Despite being the road team, Buffalo is a one-point favorite over New York for tonight’s game. The Jets, fresh off the firing of head coach Robert Saleh, are aiming to prove their doubters wrong and reignite their playoff push with a win.